St. Tammany Parish

Northshore, Louisiana · 278K people · $13.5B GDP

Timeline
2026Present
NOW
EVENT HORIZON
2020202620302035204020452050
Acadiana RegionTrust Builder Community

Future Path

Pick a future path. Every number on this page updates with the impacts and the ranked actions for that path.

Disruption Profile

Baseline + Probable

High — Active disruption underway in key sectors

High — Median household income $82K (+35.5% vs state median) -- well above state average, providing economic cushion.

Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — AI Exposure Index: 48/100 -- lower vulnerability to AI-driven workforce disruption.

Moderate — Moderate exposure across select industries

Low — Moderate exposure across select industries

Low — Moderate exposure across select industries

Minimal — Limited disruption signal

St. Tammany Parish vs Louisiana Average

St. Tammany Parish exceeds Louisiana average on 3/9 dimensions. Highest divergence: AI > AGI > ASI (+24)

Click a dimension label to explore

St. Tammany Louisiana US Avg

Projected impact · 2026

Stakes for St. Tammany Parish

Probable cone · 1.00x

With 128K jobs in St. Tammany Parish and AI exposure at 48/100, here is what the model projects through 2031 under the probable cone (default 5-year horizon — scrub the timeline to extend).

Model: at-risk = workforce × (AI exposure ÷ 100) × ((year − 2020) ÷ 10, capped 0-1) × cone multiplier. Each STEEPE-point improvement preserves ~1% of at-risk jobs. The same formula runs backwards (retrodiction) and forwards (projection), so scrubbing pre-2026 shows what the model says was already exposed by that year.

See per-dimension breakdown

How 12 actions distribute across 5 dimensions, plus near-term vs medium-term lists.

If St. Tammany Parish implements all 12 recommended actions, the model projects these dimensional improvements.

Education Value
57+17 pts
Pre-emptive Reskilling Pipeline: Insurance/financial back-office /Sector-Aligned K-12 + Community College Pipeline /Registered Apprenticeship Expansion: Health Care & Social /Sector-Pivot Scholarship Voucher
AI > AGI > ASI
50+15 pts
Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact /Leverage Broadband Advantage for AI Sector Growth /Healthcare AI Innovation Network
Economic Disruption
55+12 pts
Reduce Health Care & Social Concentration Risk /Northshore Corporate HQ Recruitment Accelerator
Ecological Stress
73+9 pts
Climate Resilience Infrastructure Investment /Resilience-as-Competitive-Advantage Branding
Social Trust
58+4 pts
Pre-Positioned Displaced Worker Rapid Response
Near-term (1-3 yr)+45 pts

9 actions within local control

  • - Reduce Health Care & Social Concentration Risk
  • - Pre-emptive Reskilling Pipeline: Insurance/financial back-office
  • - Sector-Aligned K-12 + Community College Pipeline
  • - Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact
  • - Leverage Broadband Advantage for AI Sector Growth
  • - Registered Apprenticeship Expansion: Health Care & Social
  • - Pre-Positioned Displaced Worker Rapid Response
  • - Northshore Corporate HQ Recruitment Accelerator
  • - Healthcare AI Innovation Network
Medium-term (3-7 yr)+12 pts

3 actions requiring partnerships or advocacy

  • - Climate Resilience Infrastructure Investment
  • - Sector-Pivot Scholarship Voucher
  • - Resilience-as-Competitive-Advantage Branding

Action Plan

Probable path

Top recommendations for St. Tammany Parish, ranked by estimated impact. 12 total · +57 pts combined.

Who Can Act

Of 12 recommended actions for St. Tammany Parish, 12 are within direct control. Tap a sphere to see the actions and what each one does.

Acting on the 12 local levers alone (+57 STEEPE pts) is the fastest path to shifting the probable→preferred future cone for this county.

Top Employers — St. Tammany Parish

The 10 largest employers shaping the local labor market. Tap any row for the public-data profile and AI-exposure assessment.

Combined headcount across profiled employers: 6.4K globally · 1 benefiting · 8 not yet profiled

Economic Development Authority

St. Tammany Economic Development Corporation

THRIVE 2029

Website

Target Sectors

Advanced ManufacturingLogistics & DistributionR&DHealth & ScienceSustainable Businesses

Active Programs

  • +Advance St. Tammany (BRE assistance)
  • +Gulf South Commerce Park (~1000 acres)
  • +Northshore Healthscape (3-parish healthcare pilot)
  • +Startup Northshore
  • +InveST St. Tammany incentive portal

Recent Wins

Textron Systems $5.8M military expansion 133 new + 761 retained jobs
$5.8M133 jobs2026
Laborde Products $5.8M operations center
$5.8M2025
Cold storage facility $45.9M
$45.9M2024

Supporting detail

Open any section to dig into the underlying data.

Workforce transitions by sector

LA WARN notices grouped by industry

WARN Act notices in St. Tammany Parish. Identifies sectors with displaced talent pools available for recruitment and retention by economic development programs.

Total WARN Notices

4

Workers Affected

200

Top Sector

Distribution/Logistics

Distribution/Logistics60 workers (30%)
Healthcare55 workers (28%)
Hospitality/Gaming45 workers (23%)
Insurance/Benefits Administration40 workers (20%)

Recent Notices

LAYOFF

Rooms To Go Distribution Center

60 workers · Distribution/Logistics · 2024-03

Warehouse automation deployment, reduced manual fulfillment headcount

est.
LAYOFF

Gilsbar LLC

40 workers · Insurance/Benefits Administration · 2023-06

Insurance TPA restructuring, AI-driven claims processing adoption

est.
LAYOFF

Boomtown Casino (Pinnacle)

45 workers · Hospitality/Gaming · 2020-03

COVID-19 casino and hospitality shutdown

LAYOFF

Slidell Memorial Hospital (support staff)

55 workers · Healthcare · 2020-04

COVID-19 elective procedure halt, support staff furloughs

Disruption scenarios

Exponential impact paths driven by the timeline

Exponential Impact Scenarios

Cross-signal alerts

When multiple risk signals converge on this parish

Convergence Alerts

highClimate-Economic Nexusstrength 85%
Ecological 73/55Economic 66/50

Ecological stress amplifies economic disruption through insurance costs, infrastructure damage, supply chain disruptions, and forced migration patterns.

Precedent: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Texas winter storm (2021): climate events created multi-year economic disruption in affected regions.

St. Tammany Parish: 2 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.

Full economic profile

Demographics, employment, sectors, incentives

EVI: competitiveBASELINEMetro (RUCC 1)

Housing & Infrastructure

Median Home Value

$297K

Homeownership

78.6%

Median Rent

$1,250

Broadband Access

93.0%

Avg Commute

31.5 min

Labor Force Part.

58.3%

Highest homeownership in Louisiana. Premium housing market driven by top schools and low crime. Hurricane insurance costs rising but less severe than coastal parishes.

Employment by Sector

Health Care & Social15.4%
Educational Services10.1%
Retail Trade10.1%
Professional/Scientific/Technical8%
Construction/Transportation7%

Population & Talent

Population

277K

Change Since 2020

+4.9%

Median Age

40.8

Sustained suburban growth from New Orleans metro. 2023 MSA reclassification to own Slidell-Mandeville-Covington MSA reflects economic independence from Orleans Parish.

State Incentive Programs

Available incentives from LED for business attraction and expansion in St. Tammany Parish.

Quality Jobs Program

Rebate

Cash rebate on new payroll for qualifying companies creating well-paying jobs. Louisiana's flagship incentive providing a direct annual rebate of up to 6% of gross annual payroll for new direct jobs.

Max Benefit

Up to 6% annual cash rebate on new payroll for up to 10 years (5-year initial + 5-year renewal)

Eligibility

Companies creating 5+ new permanent jobs (small business) or 15+ new permanent jobs (standard) at or above 90% of parish average wage. Manufacturing, digital media, headquarters, and R&D qualify.

Enterprise Zone Program

Tax Credit

State income and franchise tax credits for job creation in designated enterprise zones. Provides $2,500 per new job created plus a sales/use tax rebate on materials and equipment.

Max Benefit

$2,500 income/franchise tax credit per net new job + 4% sales tax rebate on building materials, equipment, and machinery

Eligibility

Businesses creating permanent net new jobs in designated enterprise zone census tracts. Must hire at least 35% of new employees from the enterprise zone.

Industrial Tax Exemption Program (ITEP)

Exemption

Property tax abatement on new manufacturing investment. Provides an 80% exemption on ad valorem property taxes for up to 10 years on qualifying capital investment in manufacturing facilities.

Max Benefit

80% property tax abatement for up to 10 years on qualifying manufacturing improvements and equipment

Eligibility

Manufacturing establishments. Requires local government (parish council/school board) approval. Must demonstrate job retention or creation and capital investment.

Digital Interactive Media and Software Development Incentive

Tax Credit

Refundable income tax credits for digital media and software development expenditures in Louisiana. Designed to attract tech companies, game studios, and software firms.

Max Benefit

25% tax credit on qualified production expenditures + 18% credit on Louisiana labor (software); credits are transferable and refundable

Eligibility

Companies producing digital interactive media products, video games, or developing commercial software in Louisiana. Minimum $50K spend for software; $300K for interactive media.

Technology Commercialization Credit

Tax Credit

Tax credits for businesses investing in the commercialization of Louisiana university research. Supports the translation of academic R&D into commercial products and services.

Max Benefit

40% tax credit on qualifying commercialization expenditures (up to $100K credit per project)

Eligibility

Louisiana companies commercializing technology developed at a Louisiana university or federal research lab. Must license or acquire IP from qualifying institution.

Competitive Projects Payroll Incentive

Rebate

Enhanced payroll rebate for large-scale competitive projects that Louisiana is pursuing against other states. Provides flexibility beyond standard Quality Jobs terms.

Max Benefit

Up to 15% rebate on new payroll for up to 15 years (negotiated based on project scale)

Eligibility

Large-scale projects with 50+ new direct jobs and $25M+ capital investment. Must demonstrate multi-state competitive consideration. Governor's discretionary approval.

Wealthiest parish in Louisiana with diversified suburban economy. Corporate HQ cluster in Covington (POOLCORP, Globalstar, Gilsbar, Netchex). Healthcare services dominance with four major hospital systems. Top-rated public schools attract families from New Orleans metro. Less volatile than petrochemical-dependent parishes.

Sources

Census ACS 2024: St. Tammany ParishBLS LAUSInveST St. Tammany

Grant matches

Federal funding aligned to parish levers

Best-Fit Incentive Programs

State programs matched to St. Tammany Parish's industry mix, workforce needs, and recommended actions.

Quality Jobs Program
RebateUp to 6% annual cash rebate on new payroll for up to 10 years (5-year initial + 5-year renewal)
56
  • +Matches technology focus
  • +Matches headquarters focus
  • +Funds 2 recommended actions

Recommended for: Reduce Health Care & Social Concentration Risk, Northshore Corporate HQ Recruitment Accelerator

Digital Interactive Media and Software Development Incentive
Tax Credit25% tax credit on qualified production expenditures + 18% credit on Louisiana labor (software); credits are transferable and refundable
45
  • +Matches technology focus
  • +Funds 5 recommended actions

Recommended for: Reduce Health Care & Social Concentration Risk, Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact, Leverage Broadband Advantage for AI Sector Growth

Technology Commercialization Credit
Tax Credit40% tax credit on qualifying commercialization expenditures (up to $100K credit per project)
45
  • +Matches technology focus
  • +Funds 5 recommended actions

Recommended for: Reduce Health Care & Social Concentration Risk, Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact, Leverage Broadband Advantage for AI Sector Growth

Enterprise Zone Program
Tax Credit$2,500 income/franchise tax credit per net new job + 4% sales tax rebate on building materials, equipment, and machinery
30
  • +Funds 5 recommended actions

Recommended for: Reduce Health Care & Social Concentration Risk, Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact, Leverage Broadband Advantage for AI Sector Growth

Industrial Tax Exemption Program (ITEP)
Exemption80% property tax abatement for up to 10 years on qualifying manufacturing improvements and equipment
30
  • +Funds 3 recommended actions

Recommended for: Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact, Leverage Broadband Advantage for AI Sector Growth, Healthcare AI Innovation Network

Target industries

Sectors prioritized by the parish strategy

Sectors aligned with the parish’s Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy and AI impact assessment.

1.Healthcare Services & Life Sciences

AI tailwind

4 major health systems with 1000+ employees each, Northshore Healthscape initiative, Tulane Primate Center biomedical research.

2.Corporate Headquarters & Professional Services

AI tailwind

POOLCORP, Globalstar, Gilsbar, Netchex HQs in Covington corridor, growing from New Orleans metro flight.

3.Satellite & Telecommunications Technology

AI tailwind

Globalstar HQ, IoT/satellite connectivity, emerging space-adjacent tech.

4.Distribution & Logistics

AI mixed

J.M. Smuckers, Associated Wholesale Grocers, Rooms to Go distribution centers, I-12 corridor.

5.Insurance & Financial Technology

AI tailwind

Gilsbar, Netchex, Fidelity Homestead, AI-enhanced payroll/HR/benefits platforms.

Best-case opportunities

What this parish wins in the preferred future

Sources

Government, academic, and live data feeds

Census ACS 2024: St. Tammany ParishBLS LAUSInveST St. TammanyCensus QuickFacts: St. Tammany ParishBEA: St. Tammany GDPSt. Tammany EDC
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