Population
335.0M
GDP
$27.0T
Top Disruption
AI
94/100
Future Path
Select a future path. All sections below update automatically.
United States is under broad-spectrum disruption pressure, with 5 of 9 dimensions elevated above 60. AI exposure is extreme (78/100), indicating near-term automation pressure on key industries.
Disruption Profile
Extreme — Active disruption underway in knowledge work
Extreme — Active disruption underway in key sectors
High — Active disruption underway in all sectors — especially finance
High — Building pressure in key sectors
Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors
Moderate — Moderate exposure across select industries
Low — Moderate exposure across select industries
Low — Moderate exposure across select industries
Low — Limited disruption signal
United States vs State Average
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Convergence Alerts
High economic disruption + rapid AI capability growth + education system stress creates a compound labor displacement risk. Industries face automation pressure while the workforce lacks retraining capacity.
Precedent: Rust Belt 2015-2020: manufacturing automation + trade disruption + inadequate workforce retraining led to persistent unemployment in affected counties.
United States: 3 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.
Multiple technology frontiers advancing simultaneously creates compounding disruption. AI + quantum + crypto adoption reshapes financial infrastructure, cybersecurity, and labor markets in parallel.
Precedent: 2020-2025: Simultaneous AI scaling + crypto ETF approval + quantum error correction milestones accelerated disruption beyond single-technology projections.
United States: 3 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.
Approaching convergence threshold. 1 dimension still below trigger level.
Approaching convergence threshold. 1 dimension still below trigger level.
AI Impact Analysis
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Key Traits
Analysis
Frontier AI superpower with the deepest capital markets, the most advanced compute infrastructure, and the sharpest political polarization among G7 peers.
## Key dynamics (2025-2026)
- **AI capability**: Fiercely competitive frontier with Anthropic (Claude Opus 4.7), OpenAI (GPT-5.4), Google DeepMind (Gemini 3.1 Pro), xAI (Grok 4.3), and Meta. Private AI investment ~$286B in 2025, hyperscaler capex $660-690B projected for 2026. - **Money**: USD remains the global reserve currency. Bitcoin ETFs approved in 2024 drove institutional adoption. CBDC explicitly rejected in 2025 legislation. - **Politics**: Polarization at historic highs. Institutional trust at record lows per Gallup tracking. - **Economy**: Services-heavy, tech-driven growth. National debt-to-GDP ratio over 120% and climbing.
See also: [[us-china-compute-decoupling]], [[frontier-model-scaling-leap]].
Frontier AI labs (Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, xAI, Meta) headquartered here, competing fiercely with no single leader across all benchmarks. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7, OpenAI's GPT-5.4, and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro trade leads. US private AI investment reached ~$286B in 2025 (Stanford HAI), with hyperscaler capex projected at $660-690B for 2026. AI contributed ~20-25% of GDP growth in 2025. Trump revoked Biden's EO 14110 (Jan 2025), signed pro-development EO 14179. No binding federal AI law. Low CBDC readiness by choice. Social trust declining post-2020 polarization. STEEPE baseline reflects 2026 Q1 snapshot.
Active Predictions
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State-level STEEPE disruption profiles. Data sourced from FRED, BLS, Census, and EIA.