Back to Lafayette Parish

Lafayette Parish

Louisiana | Economic Development Report

TerraMetrics

May 9, 2026

Population: 244KGDP: $16.5BAI Exposure: 58/100Establishments: 7,200Farms: 502

Total Employment

115.0K

Resilience Score

78/100

Diversification

99/100

Net Impact (Probable)

+959

STEEPE Disruption Profile (Probable)

Ecological Stress
69
State: 88US: 38(-19 vs state)

Ecological stress score 73/100 driven by regional climate patterns and resource dependencies.

Energy sector (18%) creates both ecological footprint and transition-risk exposure.

Economic Disruption
67.46
State: 72US: 74(-4.540000000000006 vs state)

Median household income $52K (-5.5% vs state median) -- near the state median.

Unemployment 4.8% with 118,000 total employed. Poverty rate 17%.

Political Risk
62.84
State: 62US: 52(+0.8400000000000034 vs state)

Metro jurisdiction -- larger government apparatus with more regulatory complexity.

Economic Vitality: stable -- adequate governance but limited capacity for bold policy moves.

AI > AGI > ASI
59
State: 32US: 94(+27 vs state)

AI Exposure Index: 58/100 -- moderate vulnerability to AI-driven workforce disruption.

Highest risk sector: Oil field services (automated drilling, AI-optimized extraction)

Education Value
47
State: 38US: 72(+9 vs state)

28% bachelor's+ attainment is 5 points below the national average (33%).

86% high school+ completion rate -- adequate base but gaps remain in advanced skills.

Bitcoin Adoption
38
State: 30US: 72(+8 vs state)

No significant financial sector employment -- BTC adoption impact is indirect through consumer behavior and investment flows.

Median income $52K -- moderate crypto adoption potential aligned with national trends.

Social Trust
26.92
State: 55US: 55(-28.08 vs state)

17% poverty rate strains community cohesion and institutional trust.

Population stable (+0.3% since 2020) -- community base is steady.

CBDC Rollout
13
State: 12US: 12(+1 vs state)

17% poverty rate means a larger unbanked/underbanked population. CBDC could improve financial access -- or create new surveillance concerns.

Retail/hospitality sector (9%) would be early adopters of CBDC point-of-sale infrastructure.

Quantum Readiness
6
State: 18US: 82(-12 vs state)

Research institutions (University of Louisiana at Lafayette) provide local quantum/STEM workforce pipeline, though direct quantum compute facilities are rare outside major metro areas.

28% bachelor's+ rate limits local STEM talent pool -- PQC migration will depend on external expertise.

Industry Sectors (CBP)

Healthcare & Social Assistance
27.6K
Retail Trade
17.0K
Accommodation & Food Services
15.5K
Construction
8.5K
Professional & Technical Services
8.6K
Manufacturing
6.7K
Mining, Oil & Gas Extraction
6.4K
Transportation & Warehousing
4.0K

Signature: Oil & Gas Services - 237 O&G establishments, $102K avg wage. Halliburton, Schlumberger, PHX Minerals. Hub for Gulf of Mexico services.

AI Vulnerability

  • Oil field services (automated drilling, AI-optimized extraction)
  • Back-office energy support (accounting, permitting, scheduling)
  • General admin and insurance (regional offices)
  • Retail and hospitality (food service automation)

AI Benefiting

  • Energy technology (AI-optimized offshore ops, predictive maintenance)
  • Healthcare IT (Tides Medical, wound care innovation)
  • Software/govtech (CGI government contracts, SchoolMint EdTech)
  • Aviation MRO (predictive maintenance, drone operations)
  • Logistics tech (cold chain optimization, route planning AI)

Target Industries

1. Aviation, Aerospace MRO & Rotorcraft- Existing rotorcraft heritage from offshore operations, airport infrastructure su
2. Energy Services & Offshore Technology- Gulf's deepest pool of energy and energy-transition talent. LEDA positions Lafay
3. Medical Technology & Healthcare Manufacturing- Regional healthcare center. Tides Medical win supports a cluster around wound ca
4. Logistics, Distribution & Cold Chain- I-10/I-49 crossroads between Houston and New Orleans. Interstate access, airport
5. Software, GovTech & Digital Operations- CGI, SchoolMint, Perficient presence. USL fiber infrastructure. UL Lafayette com

Agricultural Economy (USDA 2022)

Farms: 502
Farmland: 43K ac
Market Value: $28M
Net Income: $5M

Top Commodities:

Sugarcane & hay$16M
Nursery, greenhouse, floriculture$4M
Cattle & calves$3M
Grains & oilseeds$2M
Crops 81%Livestock 19%

Cities & Towns (ACS 2024)

Lafayette122K pop | $62K HHI
Healthcare & Social Assistance (15.3%)
Retail Trade (12.2%)
Educational Services (10.5%)

Sector Impact Analysis (Probable Future)

Healthcare & Social Assistance
+3.5K
Retail Trade
-1,407
Accommodation & Food Services
-1,186
Mining, Oil & Gas Extraction
-697
Professional & Technical Services
+680
Construction
+662
Transportation & Warehousing
-344
Manufacturing
-317

Net employment change by sector under probable futures scenario. Green = growth, Red = displacement risk.

Ranked Opportunities

1. Healthcare Workforce Pipeline

82/100

Address healthcare worker shortages by building accelerated training programs, especially for AI-augmented care roles.

1-2 yearsPotential: 1,378 new jobs, $79.8M annual payroll
  • -Fund nursing and allied health accelerated degree programs
  • -Create AI-health technician certification (diagnostic AI, robotic surgery assist)
  • -Develop retention programs: housing assistance, student loan repayment

2. AI Healthcare Innovation Cluster

75/100

Leverage existing healthcare employment density to attract AI health startups, clinical trial operations, and telehealth infrastructure.

2-5 yearsPotential: 1,378 new jobs, $79.8M annual payroll
  • -Recruit AI-health startups with co-location incentives near hospital systems
  • -Establish clinical data partnerships between hospitals and AI researchers
  • -Create telehealth infrastructure fund for rural patient access expansion

3. Technology & Remote Work Hub

72/100

Attract remote-first tech companies and satellite offices by promoting quality of life, lower costs, and existing professional workforce.

1-2 yearsPotential: 430 new jobs, $31.5M annual payroll
  • -Build co-working spaces with gigabit fiber in downtown cores
  • -Create tech worker relocation incentives (housing, property tax abatement)
  • -Establish partnerships with remote-first companies for local hiring

4. Modular & AI-Designed Construction

66/100

Position construction workforce for the modular housing revolution where AI designs and factories produce housing components.

2-5 yearsPotential: 427 new jobs, $27.6M annual payroll
  • -Recruit modular home manufacturers with industrial site incentives
  • -Retrain construction workers in prefab assembly and AI design tools
  • -Create affordable housing zones using modular construction fast-track permits

Under the probable future, this county's strongest opportunity is healthcare workforce pipeline (feasibility: 82/100). The economic outlook is net positive with 959 potential new positions. Additionally, ai healthcare innovation cluster scores 75/100 feasibility.

Key Traits

Acadiana cultural hub (Cajun/Creole heritage)Energy sector diversification underwayFiber-first city (LUS Fiber municipal broadband)UL Lafayette computing and informatics pipelineI-10 / I-49 crossroads logistics nodeRotorcraft heritage from offshore helicopter operationsStrong community identity ('Trust Builder' culture)LEDA-driven economic development, proactive leadership

Major Employers

CGI Group (IT/consulting)

Our Lady of Lourdes Regional Medical Center

Lafayette General Medical Center

University of Louisiana at Lafayette

Perficient (digital consultancy)

PHI Aviation (helicopter services)

SchoolMint (EdTech)

LEDA member companies (energy services cluster)

WARN Act Notices (Recent)

CompanyDateWorkersType
Halliburton2020-04-01220layoff
Schlumberger (SLB)2020-05-15150layoff
PHI Inc.2020-06-01130layoff
Baker Hughes2020-04-2085layoff
Stuller Inc.2020-03-25110layoff
Superior Energy Services2020-10-1575layoff
Waitr Holdings2020-07-0190layoff
CGG2020-06-1560layoff
Oceaneering International2020-05-0165layoff
Waitr Holdings2021-03-0160layoff

Louisiana Economic Incentives

Quality Jobs Program

Cash rebate on new payroll for qualifying companies creating well-paying jobs. Louisiana's flagship incentive providing ...

rebate

Enterprise Zone Program

State income and franchise tax credits for job creation in designated enterprise zones. Provides $2,500 per new job crea...

tax_credit

Industrial Tax Exemption Program (ITEP)

Property tax abatement on new manufacturing investment. Provides an 80% exemption on ad valorem property taxes for up to...

exemption

Digital Interactive Media and Software Development Incentive

Refundable income tax credits for digital media and software development expenditures in Louisiana. Designed to attract ...

tax_credit

Technology Commercialization Credit

Tax credits for businesses investing in the commercialization of Louisiana university research. Supports the translation...

tax_credit

Competitive Projects Payroll Incentive

Enhanced payroll rebate for large-scale competitive projects that Louisiana is pursuing against other states. Provides f...

rebate

Lafayette Economic Development Authority (LEDA)Louisiana Development Ready Community

Target Sectors

UAS/Drone ManufacturingAdvanced ManufacturingEnergy ServicesTechnologyHealthcareLogistics

Active Programs

  • LED FastStart (#1 ranked state workforce program)
  • Retail Ready (6 municipalities)
  • Skill Up for Economic Resilience
  • Small & Minority Business Development
  • GIS/mapping for site selectors

Recent Wins

NameInvestmentJobsYear
DMR Technologies $1.4M 521 direct jobs at $85K avg$1.4M5212025
Drone Institute $340K expansion 610 jobs$340K6102025
Blueflite medical drone logistics--2025
MMR Group $55.2M expansion$55.2M-2025

Preferred Future Actions

PriorityDimensionActionImpactControl
criticalEducation ValueClose the Skills Gap with AI-Ready Credentials+6local
highAI > AGI > ASIConvert AI Vulnerability into First-Mover Advantage+6local
highEconomic DisruptionReduce Energy Services Concentration Risk+5local
highSocial TrustTargeted Poverty Reduction in Highest-Need Areas+5local
highEducation ValuePre-emptive Reskilling Pipeline: Oil field services+5local
highEducation ValueSector-Aligned K-12 + Community College Pipeline+5local
highEducation ValueRegistered Apprenticeship Expansion: Energy Services+4local
highSocial TrustPre-Positioned Displaced Worker Rapid Response+4local
highAI > AGI > ASIUniversal Broadband for AI Economy Participation+1federal
mediumEcological StressClimate Resilience Infrastructure Investment+4local
mediumEducation ValueSector-Pivot Scholarship Voucher+3local
highEconomic DisruptionScale the Unmanned Systems Cluster+8local
highEconomic DisruptionEvangeline Corridor AI Innovation District+7local
criticalEducation ValueLED FastStart AI Workforce Program+7state

Projected Impact Summary

Education Value
52 + 30 = 82
Economic Disruption
60 + 20 = 80
Social Trust
53 + 9 = 62
AI > AGI > ASI
53 + 7 = 60
Ecological Stress
73 + 4 = 77

Total Impact

+70 pts

14 actions

Local Control

86%

12 of 14 actions

Critical Actions

2

highest priority

Impact estimates are modeled projections based on STEEPE dimension sensitivity analysis. Actual outcomes depend on implementation quality, timing, and external conditions.

Data Sources

Census CBP 2022, USDA Census of Agriculture 2022, Census ACS 2024, BLS QCEW, BEA County GDP, WARN Act Notices, TerraMetrics STEEPE Engine. Census QuickFacts: Lafayette Parish. BEA: Lafayette MSA GDP. Lafayette Economic Development Authority.

Definitions

STEEPE Framework: A multi-dimensional disruption assessment covering Social, Technology (AI, Blockchain, CBDC, Quantum), Ecological, Economic, Political, and Education. Each dimension is scored 0-100, where higher values indicate greater disruption intensity. Scores shown in this report reflect the Probable scenario projection.

Resilience Score (0-100): How well-positioned a county is to absorb economic disruption. Calculated from economic diversification (40%), opportunity-to-threat ratio (35%), and average sector wage levels (25%). Higher scores indicate greater capacity to weather change.

Diversification Score (0-100): Economic diversity across industry sectors, based on the inverted Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI). A score of 100 indicates a perfectly diversified economy; lower scores indicate concentration in fewer sectors, increasing vulnerability to sector-specific shocks.

AI Exposure Score (0-100): Degree of exposure to AI-driven disruption based on knowledge worker concentration, tech company density, and manufacturing automation exposure. Higher scores indicate greater exposure, meaning both higher risk of displacement and higher potential for AI-driven growth.

Futures Cone (Probable / Possible / Preferable): Based on the Voros (2003) futures cone methodology. Probable represents where current trends lead (highest confidence). Possible covers what could happen across a wider range of conditions. Preferable describes the abundant future that proactive policy and investment can build toward.