Back to Calcasieu Parish

Calcasieu Parish

Louisiana | Economic Development Report

TerraMetrics

May 9, 2026

Population: 217KGDP: $18.2BAI Exposure: 52/100Establishments: 4,700Farms: 787

Total Employment

75.0K

Resilience Score

82/100

Diversification

102/100

Net Impact (Probable)

+67

STEEPE Disruption Profile (Probable)

Ecological Stress
84
State: 88US: 38(-4 vs state)

Extreme hurricane exposure (Laura 2020, Delta 2020 devastation)

Energy sector (25%) creates both ecological footprint and transition-risk exposure.

Economic Disruption
82.46
State: 72US: 74(+10.459999999999994 vs state)

Median household income $55K (0% vs state median) -- near the state median.

Unemployment 5.2% with 95,000 total employed. Poverty rate 16%.

Political Risk
60.84
State: 62US: 52(-1.1599999999999966 vs state)

Metro jurisdiction -- larger government apparatus with more regulatory complexity.

Economic Vitality: transitional -- governance under economic transition pressure, policy uncertainty elevated.

AI > AGI > ASI
46
State: 32US: 94(+14 vs state)

AI Exposure Index: 52/100 -- moderate vulnerability to AI-driven workforce disruption.

Highest risk sector: Petrochemical plant operations (AI process optimization reducing operators)

Bitcoin Adoption
38
State: 30US: 72(+8 vs state)

No significant financial sector employment -- BTC adoption impact is indirect through consumer behavior and investment flows.

Median income $55K -- moderate crypto adoption potential aligned with national trends.

Education Value
32
State: 38US: 72(-6 vs state)

22% bachelor's+ attainment is 11 points below the national average (33%).

84% high school+ completion rate -- significant portion of workforce lacks basic credentials.

Social Trust
18.92
State: 55US: 55(-36.08 vs state)

16% poverty rate strains community cohesion and institutional trust.

Population declining (-1.5% since 2020) weakens social fabric and civic institutions.

CBDC Rollout
13
State: 12US: 12(+1 vs state)

Government sector (7% of employment) -- federal CBDC rollout would first affect benefits distribution and government payroll here.

16% poverty rate means a larger unbanked/underbanked population. CBDC could improve financial access -- or create new surveillance concerns.

Quantum Readiness
6
State: 18US: 82(-12 vs state)

Research institutions (McNeese State University) provide local quantum/STEM workforce pipeline, though direct quantum compute facilities are rare outside major metro areas.

22% bachelor's+ rate limits local STEM talent pool -- PQC migration will depend on external expertise.

Industry Sectors (CBP)

Healthcare & Social Assistance
12.7K
Accommodation & Food Services
10.8K
Retail Trade
10.8K
Manufacturing
8.7K
Construction
5.2K
Professional & Technical Services
4.7K
Transportation & Warehousing
2.4K
Utilities
391

Signature: Petrochemical & LNG Manufacturing - $112K avg manufacturing wage (highest in dataset). Citgo, Sasol, Venture Global LNG. $45B+ in announced industrial projects.

AI Vulnerability

  • Petrochemical plant operations (AI process optimization reducing operators)
  • Offshore drilling support (automated monitoring, fewer field roles)
  • Administrative and permitting (document automation)
  • Retail and hospitality (casino and service automation)

AI Benefiting

  • LNG operations (AI-optimized liquefaction, predictive maintenance)
  • Industrial safety and monitoring (AI-powered hazard detection)
  • Port logistics (automated scheduling and cargo management)
  • Environmental compliance (AI monitoring and reporting)

Target Industries

1. LNG Export & Gas Processing- Calcasieu Pass LNG (Venture Global), Cameron LNG (Sempra), Driftwood LNG (planne
2. Petrochemical Manufacturing- Sasol $12.5B ethane cracker, Citgo refinery, Westlake Chemical. Deep Gulf Coast
3. Industrial Construction & Maintenance- Massive turnaround and construction workforce serving LNG/petrochem facilities.
4. Port & Logistics- Port of Lake Charles ranks top 12 US in tonnage. Deepwater channel, rail connect

Agricultural Economy (USDA 2022)

Farms: 787
Farmland: 284K ac
Market Value: $23M
Net Income: $-6,420,000

Top Commodities:

Cattle & calves$11M
Grains & oilseeds (rice)$5M
Aquaculture (crawfish)$4M
Horses & ponies$605K
Crops 29%Livestock 71%

Cities & Towns (ACS 2024)

Lake Charles81K pop | $59K HHI
Healthcare & Social Assistance (18.3%)
Retail Trade (13.4%)
Educational Services (10%)

Sector Impact Analysis (Probable Future)

Healthcare & Social Assistance
+1.6K
Retail Trade
-890
Accommodation & Food Services
-823
Manufacturing
-414
Construction
+401
Professional & Technical Services
+368
Transportation & Warehousing
-207
Utilities
+23

Net employment change by sector under probable futures scenario. Green = growth, Red = displacement risk.

Ranked Opportunities

1. Healthcare Workforce Pipeline

74/100

Address healthcare worker shortages by building accelerated training programs, especially for AI-augmented care roles.

1-2 yearsPotential: 633 new jobs, $32.6M annual payroll
  • -Fund nursing and allied health accelerated degree programs
  • -Create AI-health technician certification (diagnostic AI, robotic surgery assist)
  • -Develop retention programs: housing assistance, student loan repayment

2. Modular & AI-Designed Construction

60/100

Position construction workforce for the modular housing revolution where AI designs and factories produce housing components.

2-5 yearsPotential: 258 new jobs, $15.2M annual payroll
  • -Recruit modular home manufacturers with industrial site incentives
  • -Retrain construction workers in prefab assembly and AI design tools
  • -Create affordable housing zones using modular construction fast-track permits

3. Reshoring & Nearshoring Attraction

52/100

Position existing manufacturing infrastructure to capture companies returning production from overseas, driven by supply chain security concerns.

1-2 yearsPotential: 437 new jobs, $49.3M annual payroll
  • -Identify vacant or underutilized industrial sites suitable for rapid conversion
  • -Develop fast-track permitting for reshoring manufacturers
  • -Create workforce pipeline agreements with regional training programs

4. Carbon Capture & Hydrogen Economy

43/100

Leverage existing petrochemical infrastructure and workforce for carbon capture, blue hydrogen, and sustainable chemistry.

5-10 yearsPotential: 437 new jobs, $49.3M annual payroll
  • -Fast-track permits for carbon capture retrofit on existing industrial plants
  • -Attract hydrogen production facilities leveraging existing pipeline networks
  • -Create sustainable chemistry R&D tax credits

Under the probable future, this county's strongest opportunity is healthcare workforce pipeline (feasibility: 74/100). The economic outlook is net positive with 67 potential new positions. Additionally, modular & ai-designed construction scores 60/100 feasibility.

Key Traits

LNG export capital of the US ($100B+ investment pipeline)Sasol $12.5B ethane cracker (largest foreign manufacturing investment in US history at time of construction)Port of Lake Charles: top 12 US port by tonnageChennault International Airpark (former Air Force base, industrial campus)Extreme hurricane exposure (Laura 2020, Delta 2020 devastation)Casino gaming revenue supports parish budgetMcNeese State University (workforce pipeline)

Major Employers

Sasol (petrochemicals, Lake Charles complex)

Citgo Petroleum (refinery)

Cameron LNG (Sempra Energy)

Venture Global LNG (Calcasieu Pass)

L'Auberge Casino Resort

CHRISTUS Health Ochsner St. Patrick

McNeese State University

Entergy Louisiana

Louisiana Economic Incentives

Quality Jobs Program

Cash rebate on new payroll for qualifying companies creating well-paying jobs. Louisiana's flagship incentive providing ...

rebate

Enterprise Zone Program

State income and franchise tax credits for job creation in designated enterprise zones. Provides $2,500 per new job crea...

tax_credit

Industrial Tax Exemption Program (ITEP)

Property tax abatement on new manufacturing investment. Provides an 80% exemption on ad valorem property taxes for up to...

exemption

Digital Interactive Media and Software Development Incentive

Refundable income tax credits for digital media and software development expenditures in Louisiana. Designed to attract ...

tax_credit

Technology Commercialization Credit

Tax credits for businesses investing in the commercialization of Louisiana university research. Supports the translation...

tax_credit

Competitive Projects Payroll Incentive

Enhanced payroll rebate for large-scale competitive projects that Louisiana is pursuing against other states. Provides f...

rebate

SWLA Economic Development Alliance

Target Sectors

LNG/EnergyAdvanced ManufacturingRare Earth ProcessingHealthcareSupply Chain

Active Programs

  • LED FastStart
  • ABC Pelican Training Center
  • Healthworx (healthcare pipeline)
  • Seed Center SWLA (incubator)
  • SOWELA Technical CC
  • 11 certified industrial sites

Recent Wins

NameInvestmentJobsYear
Woodside Energy Driftwood LNG $17.5B FID$17.5B-2025
Aclara Resources $277M rare earth facility$277M-2025
Energy Transfer Lake Charles LNG shelved early 2026--2026

Preferred Future Actions

PriorityDimensionActionImpactControl
criticalEconomic DisruptionReduce Petrochemical/LNG Concentration Risk+8local
criticalEducation ValueClose the Skills Gap with AI-Ready Credentials+6local
highAI > AGI > ASIConvert AI Vulnerability into First-Mover Advantage+6local
highSocial TrustTargeted Poverty Reduction in Highest-Need Areas+5local
highEducation ValuePre-emptive Reskilling Pipeline: Petrochemical plant operations+5local
highEducation ValueSector-Aligned K-12 + Community College Pipeline+5local
highEducation ValueRegistered Apprenticeship Expansion: Healthcare & Social+4local
highSocial TrustPre-Positioned Displaced Worker Rapid Response+4local
highAI > AGI > ASIUniversal Broadband for AI Economy Participation+2federal
mediumEcological StressClimate Resilience Infrastructure Investment+4local
mediumEducation ValueSector-Pivot Scholarship Voucher+3local
criticalEconomic DisruptionEnergy Transition Contingency Plan+8local
highEcological StressCoastal Resilience as Economic Infrastructure+5local

Projected Impact Summary

Education Value
37 + 23 = 60
Economic Disruption
75 + 16 = 91
Social Trust
45 + 9 = 54
Ecological Stress
88 + 9 = 97
AI > AGI > ASI
40 + 8 = 48

Total Impact

+65 pts

13 actions

Local Control

92%

12 of 13 actions

Critical Actions

3

highest priority

Impact estimates are modeled projections based on STEEPE dimension sensitivity analysis. Actual outcomes depend on implementation quality, timing, and external conditions.

Data Sources

Census CBP 2022, USDA Census of Agriculture 2022, Census ACS 2024, BLS QCEW, BEA County GDP, WARN Act Notices, TerraMetrics STEEPE Engine. Census QuickFacts: Calcasieu Parish. BEA: Lake Charles MSA GDP. SWLA Economic Development Alliance.

Definitions

STEEPE Framework: A multi-dimensional disruption assessment covering Social, Technology (AI, Blockchain, CBDC, Quantum), Ecological, Economic, Political, and Education. Each dimension is scored 0-100, where higher values indicate greater disruption intensity. Scores shown in this report reflect the Probable scenario projection.

Resilience Score (0-100): How well-positioned a county is to absorb economic disruption. Calculated from economic diversification (40%), opportunity-to-threat ratio (35%), and average sector wage levels (25%). Higher scores indicate greater capacity to weather change.

Diversification Score (0-100): Economic diversity across industry sectors, based on the inverted Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI). A score of 100 indicates a perfectly diversified economy; lower scores indicate concentration in fewer sectors, increasing vulnerability to sector-specific shocks.

AI Exposure Score (0-100): Degree of exposure to AI-driven disruption based on knowledge worker concentration, tech company density, and manufacturing automation exposure. Higher scores indicate greater exposure, meaning both higher risk of displacement and higher potential for AI-driven growth.

Futures Cone (Probable / Possible / Preferable): Based on the Voros (2003) futures cone methodology. Probable represents where current trends lead (highest confidence). Possible covers what could happen across a wider range of conditions. Preferable describes the abundant future that proactive policy and investment can build toward.