🇭🇹 Haiti

HTI · Port-au-Prince · 11.7M people

Timeline
2026Present
NOW
EVENT HORIZON
2020202620302035204020452050

Population

11.7M

GDP

$19B

Top Disruption

Political

92/100

Future Path

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Disruption Digest

Haiti faces concentrated disruption across 4 dimensions, centered on political risk (92/100). Social trust (85/100) and political risk form the dual pressure points to watch.

Disruption Profile

Baseline + Probable

Extreme — Active disruption underway in all sectors — especially finance

High — Active disruption underway in key sectors

High — Active disruption underway in key sectors

High — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Moderate exposure across select industries

Low — Limited disruption signal

Minimal — Limited disruption signal

Haiti vs State Average

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Haiti State

Convergence Alerts

highPolitical-Economic Instabilitystrength 100%
Political 92/55Economic 85/55Social 85/50

Political instability + economic stress + declining social trust creates a governance crisis environment. Regulatory uncertainty compounds economic disruption.

Precedent: 2008-2010: Financial crisis + political polarization + institutional trust erosion created conditions for lasting policy instability.

Haiti: 3 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.

highClimate-Economic Nexusstrength 100%
Ecological 80/55Economic 85/50

Ecological stress amplifies economic disruption through insurance costs, infrastructure damage, supply chain disruptions, and forced migration patterns.

Precedent: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Texas winter storm (2021): climate events created multi-year economic disruption in affected regions.

Haiti: 2 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.

highSocial-Political Fracturestrength 100%
Social 85/55Political 92/55

Social trust erosion + political instability creates conditions for governance dysfunction, contested elections, and regulatory paralysis.

Precedent: 2020-2024: US political polarization + institutional trust decline produced contested elections, regulatory uncertainty, and capital flight from affected jurisdictions.

Haiti: 2 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.

AI Impact Analysis

Click Generate to analyze anti-AI sentiment and create a SWOT analysis for Haiti using xAI Grok.

Key Traits

Gang Control of CapitalFailed State TrajectoryKenya-Led MissionEarthquake Recovery StalledMass DisplacementHumanitarian Crisis

Sources

Active Predictions

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See how TerraMetrics' Oracle tracks geopolitical signals affecting Haiti.

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